Biologists are becoming more and more concerned that global climate change will drastically reduce biodiversity. Some biologists estimate that 35% of animals and plants could become extinct in the wild by 2050 due to global climate change. If we can sufficiently reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many of them will still have a chance to survive and recover. NASA scientist James Hanson has warned that in order to maintain a climate similar to that under which human civilization developed and similar to that which so many organisms are adapted, we need to quickly reduce the carbon dioxide in our atmosphere to 350 parts per million (ppm). Before the industrial revolution, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rarely rose above 280 ppm; during the 2014 calendar year, carbon dioxide levels fluctuated between 395 and 402 ppm.
To highlight the significance of the number 350, the Center for Biological Diversity has compiled a list of 350 species found in the United States and its territories which are threatened by climate change. On their 350 Reasons We Need to Get to 350: 350 Species Threatened by Global Warming web site, you can find out how climate change is putting species' very existence at risk and what mechanisms are being triggered to make food webs collapse or habitats become less livable for particular animals or plants. Read species' descriptions and look at photos of the species at risk in your home state through their interactive regional map.
Many of these species occur at or migrate past Point Reyes National Seashore. The species listed below were included as species that may disappear from California, and hence Point Reyes, as a result of climate change. Visit the Center for Biological Diversity's California Species That Need Us to Get to 350 page to learn more about the threats to these species.
In the fall of 2014, the National Audubon Society released a report entitled Birds and Climate Change. It is a comprehensive, first-of-its kind study that predicts how climate change could affect the ranges of 588 North American birds.
Audubon scientists used three decades of citizen-scientist observations from the Audubon Christmas Bird Count and the North American Breeding Bird Survey to define the "climatic suitability" for each bird species—the range of temperatures, precipitation, and seasonal changes each species needs to survive. Then, using internationally recognized greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, they mapped where each bird's ideal climatic range may be found in the future as the climate changes. These maps serve as a guide to how each bird's current range could expand, contract, or shift across three future time periods (2020, 2050, and 2080).
Of the 588 North American bird species Audubon studied, more than half are likely to be in trouble. The National Audubon Society's models indicate that 314 species will lose more than 50 percent of their current climatic range by 2080. Of the 314 species at risk from global warming, 126 of them are classified as climate endangered. These birds are projected to lose more than 50 percent of their current range by 2050. The other 188 species are classified as climate threatened and expected to lose more than 50 percent of their current range by 2080 if global warming continues at its current pace. Use the National Audubon Society's geographical search tool to see how climate could affect birds near you.
There are too many of the 314 species at risk from global warming that have also been recorded at Point Reyes National Seashore (206 KB PDF) to list them all here, but one may wish to compare the two lists to get a sense of the potential loss of avian biodiversity by the end of the century here at Point Reyes if we don't quickly and substantially reduce greenhouse gas emission.
On the heels of a 2018 NPS-National Audubon Society study of potential climate change-driven shifts in bird species distributions, Audubon has launched a new community science program—Climate Watch—to test the science and monitor for expected changes. Climate Watch surveys take place in the winter (January 15–February 15) and in the summer breeding season (May 15–June 15). Learn more...
In January 2020, two widely reported studies highlighted the dramatic impact of climate disruption on our wildlife and fisheries along the California coast.
The first study showed that from 2014 to 2016, over a million common murres from Alaska through California—about 15% of the population—died as result of a marine heat wave known as the "Warm Blob." The Warm Blob wreaked havoc on California's normally cold, highly productive waters, causing fish like anchovies, sardine, sand lance, squids, and krill to move to deeper, colder waters and be less available in other ways. In turn, the marine life—from the blue whale to salmon to pelagic birds like the common murre—that feed on them suffered, competing with each other for what little food was left to be found. The result was a massive die-off of common murres.
The second study shows that ocean acidification caused by carbon emissions is harming shell-building animals in the ocean, including Dungeness crab. The study found that larval Dungeness crabs' shells suffer damage in west coast seawater, putting at risk the most lucrative fishery in California and a beloved local seafood.
These newly documented impacts provide more evidence that we are running out of time to take action by drastically reducing our use of fossil fuels in order to slow the rate of climate disruption and to give birds and other animals more time to adapt.
Visit our How You Can Help Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions page to learn what you can do to help protect these species at risk from climate disruption.
"9 animals that are feeling the impacts of climate change." Posted on the People, Land & Water Blog on November 16, 2015
Bednaršeka, Nina, Richard A. Feely, Marcus W. Beck, Simone R. Alin, Samantha A. Siedlecki, Piero Calosi, Emily L. Norton, et al. "Exoskeleton dissolution with mechanoreceptor damage in larval Dungeness crab related to severity of present-day ocean acidification vertical gradients," Science of The Total Environment 716 (May 2020): Article 136610. Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136610 (accessed on 24 March 2020).
Piatt, John F., Julia K. Parrish, Heather M. Renner, Sarah K. Schoen, Timothy T. Jones, Mayumi L. Arimitsu, Kathy J. Kuletz, et al. "Extreme mortality and reproductive failure of common murres resulting from the northeast Pacific marine heatwave of 2014–2016," PLoS ONE 15, no. 1 (January 2020): Article e0226087. Available at https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226087 (accessed on 24 March 2018).
Last updated: March 25, 2020