Glacial Ice and Harbor Seal Study

seals on ice
Aerial digital image of harbor seals and glacial ice in Johns Hopkins Inlet.



Project Summary & Objectives

Glacier Bay National Park and the Glacier Bay Field Station, in partnership with the Geophysical Institute - University of Alaska Fairbanks and the National Marine Mammal Laboratory – Polar Ecosystem Program, have recently embarked on a new project that uses aerial digital imagery, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), remote sensing technology, and geospatial models to assess the relationship between the availability of glacial ice and harbor seal spatial distribution and abundance in Johns Hopkins Inlet in Glacier Bay National Park. The primary objectives of this project are

  • to provide a permanent record of the spatial distribution of harbor seals and glacial ice
  • to derive ice characteristics and associated covariates from aerial digital imagery data
  • to use the derived ice characteristics and seal presence data from aerial surveys to model the relationship between ice cover, ice characteristics, and seal presence in a statistical modeling framework.
calving glaciers create icebergs
Harbor seals use icebergs as places to rest and give birth.

Background and Rationale

Tidewater glaciers are a prominent landscape feature along the southeastern and south-central coasts of Alaska and play an important role in landscape and ecosystem processes. Many tidewater glaciers calve large icebergs into the sea which then serve as important resting and pupping spots for harbor seals, a species of concern in Alaska. Although tidewater glaciers are naturally dynamic, advancing and retreating in response to local climatic and tidal cycles, most of the ice sheets that feed tidewater glaciers in Alaska are thinning and, as a result, many of the tidewater glaciers are retreating. Climate change models predict continual and rapid loss of glacial ice with unknown impacts on organisms that rely on tidewater glaciers and tidewater glacial habitat.

Evidence suggests that the role of ice availability could be a factor associated with declines and/or shifts in the distribution of harbor seals in Glacier Bay. For example, between 1973 and 1986, the Muir Glacier in the upper East Arm of Glacier Bay experienced a catastrophic retreat and by 1993 the glacier was completely grounded. In the 1970's, prior to the grounding of Muir Glacier, in excess of 1,300 seals were counted in upper Muir Inlet in the East Arm (Streveler 1979). The dramatic retreat and subsequent grounding of the Muir Glacier resulted in the cessation of calving and iceberg production by the Muir Glacier. Consequently, the icebergs which were used by harbor seals to rest and give birth upon, were no longer available to seals as a haulout substrate and eventually resulted in the abandonment of upper Muir Inlet by harbor seals (Mathews 1995). By 2008, no seals were pupping in Muir Inlet, and fewer than 200 seals were counted in McBride Inlet near the terminus of the McBride Glacier, the only remaining tidewater glacier in the East Arm of Glacier Bay (Womble et al. 2010).

Changes in tidewater glaciers in Alaska have the potential to impact harbor seals in and adjacent to several NPS units (Glacier Bay National Park, Kenai Fjords National Park, Wrangell St. Elias National Park) in Alaska where seals are highly dependent upon icebergs calved from tidewater glaciers. Understanding relationships between glacial ice availability and harbor seal distribution and abundance will provide novel perspectives on the spatial and temporal variation of harbor seals in tidewater glacial fjords in Alaska which host some of the largest aggregations of harbor seals in the world.

Johns Hopkins Inlet
Johns Hopkins Inlet is an important area for harbor seals.

Study Site

Johns Hopkins Inlet is an expansive (12 km long X 2.5 km wide) tidewater glacial fjord in the upper West Arm of Glacier Bay and is the primary glacial ice site used by harbor seals in Glacier Bay. Johns Hopkins Glacier and the Gilman Glacier form a single advancing ice front that is approximately 2 kilometers wide in Johns Hopkins Inlet. The glaciers are fed by several tributary glaciers that extend several kilometers into the surrounding Fairweather Mountain Range. The glacier is approximately 250 feet high at the terminus and is characterized by submarine calving activity. Icebergs that are calved from the advancing ice front provide resting substrate for harbor seals.

seal and ice map
Harbor seal distribution (black dots), determined from aerial imagery, in relation to percent ice cover in Johns Hopkins Inlet. Red colors represent higher percentages of ice cover. CLICK TO ENLARGE



  • Aerial surveys are conducted during the harbor seal pupping (June) and molting (August) periods in Johns Hopkins Inlet. Aerial survey methods were developed by the National Marine Mammal Laboratory (Jansen et al. 2006).
  • Aerial surveys produce non-overlapping digital images using GPS-linked SLR digital camera from a grid of 12 transects at an altitude of 1000 feet.
  • Seals are mapped and counted in a Geographic Information System (GIS) from the non-overlapping images.
  • Using statistical models for spatial point processes, an intensity surface of seal distribution is interpolated between images to provide an overall abundance estimate.
  • Remote sensing techniques are being developed to map and quantify ice cover and ice properties from digital imagery.
  • The derived ice characteristics and seal presence data from aerial survey imagery will be used to model the relationship between ice cover, ice characteristics, and seal presence in a statistical modeling framework.

For more information on this project, please contact Jamie Womble, project coordinator.

A collaborative project

Last updated: April 14, 2015

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Mailing Address:

Glacier Bay National Park & Preserve
PO Box 140

Gustavus , AK 99826


907 697-2230

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