Salt marsh dieback timeline

early low marsh losses
The formation of a bare patch of marsh between 1984 and 1987 as S. alterniflora is lost (Great Island, Wellfleet) (arrow from house has been drawn for spatial reference).

On Cape Cod, salt marsh dieback was originally termed "sudden wetland dieback" (SWD) and thought to be a recent, sudden phenomenon.

It was reported by Ron Rozsa (CT DEP) and Scott Warren (CT College) in 2002 (Harwich and Chatham) and independently by Stephen Smith and John Portnoy (NPS) in 2003 (Cape Cod National Seashore).

<click for enlarged version of this image>

It turns out, however, that vegetation losses on Cape Cod have been happening for decades.

Both low and high marsh vegetation losses are evident in aerial and ground-level photography as early as 1984 . In some systems, significant widening of tidal creeks in the absence of tidal inlet changes - an indication of edge vegetation loss and subsequent erosion - can be seen as far back as the 1950s.

While discrete patches of vegetation may disappear during the course of a single growing season, from a system-wide perspective the losses are generally cumulative and progressive over many years. Additionally, in the low marsh (Spartina alterniflora) no interim phase of browning or standing dead foliage has been observed. On a couple of occasions, browning foliage in the latter half of the growing season was mistaken as plant demise. However, this was later determined to be early senescence in that particular year since all the same plants greened up again the next spring (i.e., no mortality).

The reason nobody has witnessed the dying process (i.e., dead foliage or "brownmarsh") is because the plants are being eaten down to stubble during the night by a species of nocturnal herbivorus crab, who's populations have reached very high levels (MORE). As such, salt marsh vegetation losses on Cape Cod are distinctly different from dieback events in other parts of the country.

BELOW - MORE PHOTOS OF VEGETATION LOSSES DATING AS FAR BACK AS 2 DECADES AGO

 
Saquatucket Harbor 1991
Major losses of S. alterniflora around the edges of Saquatucket Harbor by 1991 (photo courtesy of Ed Lilley).  Color infrared aerial photos show that vegetation began disappearing at this site before 1984.
 
West Dennis marsh 1984
Early vegetation losses in a marsh behind West Dennis Beach (1984).  This is a color infrared aerial photograph.  The blue-gray signatures along mosquito ditches indicate areas of lost vegetation.  Dark red colors are low marsh vegetation; pink signatures are high marsh vegetation (photo courtesy of Don Liptak, NRCS, Barnstable).
 
Gut - early S. alterniflora losses
Photo showing early disappearance of S. alterniflora in a Great Island-area marsh in 1987 (NPS photo).
 
creekbank losses by 1995
Around Lt. Island (Wellfleet), extensive losses of creekbank had already occurred by 1995 when this photo was taken (photo courtesy of Karin Rosenthal).
 

Last updated: February 26, 2015

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